Attempts to come to terms with, and to defend, Barack Obama's sudden attempt to walk back the centerpiece of his presidential campaign -- unwavering opposition to the effort in Iraq, regardless of facts on the ground or of new information -- have abounded over the last few days, with each falling well short of anything even remotely resembling intellectual honesty or seriousness.
A couple of the latest have come from the New Yorker's George Packer, and from our old friend Andrew Sullivan -- someone whose writing contains intellectual honesty only rarely, and intellectual seriousness never.
Sullivan has this to say about Obama's sudden lurch to the right on Iraq:
"Any potential president who is uninterested in the facts on the ground in calibrating his Iraq policy would be another George W Bush."
All I have to say is, whoever usurped Bush's presidential duties from December 2006 onward, and is therefore actually responsible for effecting a wholesale change in the entire strategy of operations in Iraq as a result of the deteriorating situation on the ground there, while Sully's ideological allies on the left side of the legislative aisle were fighting tooth and nail to prevent any changes from being made, did one heckuva job.
There's no doubt the situation in Iraq progressively worsened over a long enough period of time that the administration has little or no excuse for not recognizing and responding to it with a series of adjustments in how the postwar was being waged. However, for Sully to make that claim after 2006 is simply ridiculous. Fortunately, none of us are surprised to see such ridiculousness emanating from that dank, musty corner of the blogosphere.
The New Yorker's George Packer took a slightly different tack, deciding that acknowledging progress in Iraq as a result of President Bush's willingess to change strategy was an Okay thing to do -- but, in the process of twisting things around as much as possible to defend Obama, he screwed up his timeline royally (while also doing wonderful imitation of Sullivan in terms of abandoning intellectual seriousness). According to the UK First Post:
George Packer writes in the New Yorker that the situation "on the ground" in Iraq today is entirely different to when Obama originally told voters about his plans for troop withdrawal. As a result Obama should not be criticised for adapting: "In matters of foreign policy, flexibility is a President’s primary defence against surprise." Packer writes that the improved conditions in Iraq can be attributed to "President Bush’s surge, the change of military strategy under General David Petraeus [Ed: Both of which Obama opposed], the turning of Sunni tribes against Al Qaeda, the Sadr militia’s unilateral ceasefire and the great historical luck that bought them all together at the same moment." So this is no time for a withdrawal.
Obama needn’t be bashful about admitting his Iraq policy was flawed - he simply needs to adjust his presentational style when talking about the war: "Obama has shown...that he has a talent for candour...One can imagine him speaking more honestly on Iraq...he could say 'That was always a goal, not a blueprint. When circumstances change, I don’t close my eyes - I adapt.'"
Let's (quickly) work the timeline on this, just using events related to Packer's "analysis":
- Fall 2006: The "turning of Sunni tribes against al Qaida" begins in Anbar Province (known as the Anbar Awakening)
- December 2006: President Bush announces a change of course in Iraq in response to the three-year-long deterioration of the situation on the ground there
- January 2007: General Petraeus is confirmed by the Senate to be the new commander of Multinational Force-Iraq. He brings with him a counterinsurgency strategy that is to be bolstered by an increase in combat troops in Iraq by 20,000 (this is what Packer refers to as "Bush's surge"; he is apparently confused enough to think the 'surge' and the counterinsurgency strategy implemented by Gen. Petraeus are separate developments in the prosecution of the Iraq postwar).
- August 2007: The Awakening spreads to Baghdad, where, in Salman Pak, the first Concerned Local Citizens group is formed to augment coalition and Iraqi forces in the fight against militias and terrorists
- August 2007: Muqtada al-Sadr declares that the Mahdi Army is in need of "purification," orders six-month cease fire
- December 2007: The Concerned Local Citizens program, modeled on the successful Anbar Awakening, becomes a phenomenon, with over 72,000 Iraqis serving in these citizen's groups in 15 of Iraq's 18 provinces, including 35,000 in Baghdad
- March 2008: Sadr declares another cease fire, ordering his Mahdi Army not to attack Iraqi troops and citizens and demanding amnesty from the country's government
- May 2008: The U.S. suffers 19 casualties in Iraq -- the lowest monthly total since the 2003 invasion
- May 2008: Leaders of Sadr's Mahdi Army sign a cease fire agreement with the Iraqi government allowing ISF unfettered access to Sadr City
Now, let's listen to Barack Obama in April 2008:
...and on July 3, 2008:
Packer is all wet on the timing of the events he claims Obama's position can be legitimately swayed by. At least he, though (and Sully as well), isn't audacious enough to change that position, then claim that it's been consistent the whole time.
Only Obama has that kind of audacity -- and only Obama thinks the American people are so stupid, and that his Jedi powers are so great, that such a claim will go entirely unchallenged especially in light of the prominence his out-of-Iraq-now position has held within the his presidential campaign.
















Rather than refine his position, maybe Obama should refine some more oil to bring down the price!
J.M. needs to immediately take away BO's claim of "change"
and put him back into the past based on his 'old' liberal solutions. Use the"Back to the Future' theme to send BO thinking into the category of same old, same old liberal solutions of dependency on the gov't. Put him the 60's, 70's etc where he belongs. Make him the old guy.
People are really worried about the ecnomic threats of places like China, India etc. As these places rise many see our decline. That thinking needs to stop right now and JM needs to be present himself as the person who has the direction to do that. The country needs reassurance. The great American culture that brought us here needs pumping up with Reaganite confidence. People are scared and confused. Get the banners out and lead the parade. Don't talk about Obama just say liberal solutions are a dead end.
Tell us how we are going to meet the challangers of the future. Don't nitpick. Big issues only. If they linked you to BUsh just give a simple answer over and over again.
The employment rate is 5.5%, interest rates are down and we essentialy won in Irag and this after a tragedy of 9-11
Loved the Jedi powers comment, it certainly rings true. Obama's approach to the issues in this campaign are certainly Clintonesque to a large degree. Tell people what they want to hear, and then, when confronted with the facts, move to the center. Unfortunately, the youth and left wing in America will buy into this tactic as the Pied Piper of politics leads them down the road to disaster.
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